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Non- Confidential SWARM Project

Funding period: 2017 - 2018

Completed

Related publications (3)

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Verbal probabilities: Very likely to be somewhat more confusing than numbers

BC Wintle, H Fraser, BC Wills, AE Nicholson, F Fidler

2019-04-01

People interpret verbal expressions of probabilities (e.g. ‘very likely’) in different ways, yet words are commonly preferred to n..

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Better together: Reliable application of the post-9/11 and post-Iraq US intelligence tradecraft standards requires collective analysis

A Marcoci, M Burgman, A Kruger, E Silver, M McBride, FS Thorn, H Fraser, BC Wintle, F Fidler, A Vercammen

2019-01-07

Background: The events of 9/11 and the October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq's Continuing Programs for Weapons of Ma..

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Eliciting improved quantitative judgements using the IDEA protocol: A case study in natural resource management

V Hemming, TV Walshe, AM Hanea, F Fidler, MA Burgman

2018-06-01

Introduction Natural resource management uses expert judgement to estimate facts that inform important decisions. Unfortunately, e..

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Fiona Fidler

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